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There's an oil super cycle, you say? Part 3
Timing mismatch between supply and demand growth leading to increased probability of crude oil prices nearing demand destruction levels in 22'
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Rob Smith III
There's a super cycle, you say? Part 2
Transitory supply chain constraints across U.S. shale likely delay supply acceleration until 2H22'
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Rob Smith III
5
There's an oil super cycle, you say? A 3 part story
Sustainability of bullish crude cycle will be tested in 22'
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Rob Smith III
4

November 2021

Process. Status check on oil
Fundamentals remain constructive, while market signals waver.
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Rob Smith III

October 2021

Gas has arrived. The upside?
Much cooler weather needed for front-month upside, back-end remains attractive.
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Rob Smith III

September 2021

All gas, no brakes.
Fundamental shift in domestic mobility likely a secular tailwind for oil demand
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Rob Smith III
Momentum - friend or foe?
Positive demand momentum critical for oil and energy equities into 4Q
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Rob Smith III
Introducing Numbers, not Narratives.
First in a series of posts introducing my risk management process for energy cycles, driven by data.
 • 
Rob Smith III
1

August 2021

Risk managing energy cycles through a probabilistic lens.
Welcome to Numbers, not narratives. by me, Rob Smith III. Engineering to energy investing. Combining fundamental data and market signals to risk manage…
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Rob Smith III
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